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So far Michael Colman has created 128 blog entries.

Analysis: RBNZ Likely to Launch Funding Program But Some Rate Cut Still Possible

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is likely to keep the official cash rate unchanged at 0.25% and launch funding program for banks to provide stimulus to the economy ahead of rate cut next year. However, some form of interest rate cut cannot be discounted so long as it doesn’t compromise on the RBNZ’s forward guidance. This could include a cut in the interest rate on excess balances in the Exchange Settlement Account System (ESAS) to 10bps from the current 25bps.

By |2020-11-10T07:54:23+00:00November 10th, 2020|

Insight: RBA To Welcome Negative Spread to US Curve When QE Happens

The Reserve Bank of Australia’s bond-buying plan under Quantitative Easing is likely to include bonds in the 5-10 year range but its expectation is that it would also drive down bond yields beyond that term.

By |2020-10-30T09:49:19+00:00October 30th, 2020|

Insight: RBA ES Rate When Cash Rate Target Is 10bps – Zero, 1bp, 5bps or 10bps?

There is a high degree of certainty around most of the monetary policy decisions the Reserve Bank of Australia will announce at the November board meeting but one decision where there is some uncertainty is the rate on Exchange Settlement balances.

By |2020-10-22T22:51:03+01:00October 22nd, 2020|

US Election Survey Results – Investors warming to a blue tsunami

We recently surveyed clients on expectations around the upcoming US election. This marked the second iteration of our US election survey, with the first having been conducted in early August. The survey was open from 8-12 October and we received more than 50 responses, closely matching the number of responses from our first election survey. Respondents included both US and globally-based investors, surveyed via our distribution channels. The following represent the key findings from our survey:

By |2020-10-13T12:41:12+01:00October 13th, 2020|

We Are Looking For: Asia Pacific Sales Consultants

We are looking for sales consultants to help us introduce our products, and in particular our InTouch FX information service, to institutional clients across the Asia-Pacific region. We recently extended the coverage of our FX service to include Asian markets and hours after hiring two new senior analysts based in Singapore. We are now keen to grow our footprint in the region and show the service to as many relevant potential clients as possible. We strongly believe that we have the best products in their respective sectors. Our FX product has just won Profit and Loss Magazine’s 2020 award for best 3rd Party Research.

By |2020-07-31T17:09:26+01:00July 31st, 2020|

ITC – Italian 3y and 7y BTP Auction Preview

USTs: At 13:00ET/18:00BST, the Treasury will auction $24bn re-opened 1.625% 8/15/2029s General Views: This week’s supply has been complicated by the looming US/China trade talks and the numerous headlines related to the negotiations. This backdrop may underpin demand for safe assets but makes set-up more difficult and may limit participation at the margin

By |2020-02-12T10:16:18+00:00February 12th, 2020|

ITC Sources: GPIF Buys USDJPY & Short-End USTs Over Y108, Sell Both at Y110

Japan’s Government Pension Investment Fund -- the world's largest pension fund -- buys the US dollar/ yen (buy US$/sell yen) and then use those proceeds to buys short-end US Treasuries on an unhedged basis, when the US$/yen is about Y108, and then when the US$/Yen moves up to Y110, it sells both, said observers citing an ongoing practice. That would lock in a 1.85% profit on the foreign exchange side, plus some residual P&L from the USTs movement.

By |2020-02-10T08:27:37+00:00February 6th, 2020|
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